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Subtitle: The Early Vote In Nevada Suggests Clinton Might Beat Her Polls There

Summary: Nevada is fairly unusual among states that allow early voting because it releases data on the party registration of early voters. Most people in the state vote early, and it hasn't changed its early voting rules, giving us the 2012 election as a baseline.

Saw at: FiveThirtyEight
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-early-vote-in-nevada-suggests-clinton-might-beat-her-polls-there/

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The Early Vote In Nevada Suggests Clinton Might Beat Her ...

We'll have to wait a week to know for sure, but the early vote in Nevada suggests Clinton is relatively safe there. Nevada is fairly unusual among states that allow early voting because it ...
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538: The Early Vote In Nevada Suggests Clinton Might Beat Her ...

538: The Early Vote In Nevada Suggests Clinton Might Beat Her Polls There Over the last eight years, Nevada has been getting bluer. Though its voters supported George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004, the state voted for President Obama by a wider margin than the nation as a whole in 2008 and 2012.
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The Early Vote In Nevada Suggests Clinton Might Beat Her ...

The Early Vote In Nevada Suggests Clinton Might Beat Her Polls There Nevada is fairly unusual among states that allow early voting because it releases data on the party registration of early voters. Most people in the state vote early, and it hasn't changed its early voting rules, giving us the 2012 election as a baseline.
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Early voting begins in Nevada's 2018 primary election | Las ...

Early voting begins in Nevada's 2018 primary election. Voters cast their ballots in Clark County on Saturday, the first day of early voting statewide in the primary election. Election Day is June 12. Voters began casting their ballots on Saturday as early voting in the primary election got underway statewide.
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Nevada Early Voting Update: Clinton Almost Certain to Win ...

This suggests that if Clinton wins in Nevada's early voting, she will likely win the state, and she'll win it by about the same margin by which she is ahead in early voting.
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"The early vote in Nevada suggests Clinton might beat her polls in..."

But we know 0 about how early voting relates to general election voting this cycle. This is the opposite of information. With her connection to a pedophile and child slavery ring people must be standing in long lines to vote for her now.
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"Again, Clinton can afford to lose NH if she wins NV... From the...

I trust no living human, but I do trust the polls. Suggested users. Says here it drops Trump down to 9% if he loses Nevada. Her advantage right now is defiantly her many paths. If she holds the blue wall of 242, all she'd need is VA & NC.
/l/?kh=-1&uddg=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fforecasterenten%2Fstatus%2F794226129452367876

(((Harry Enten))) on Twitter: "You can draw some odd maps, but the..."

Suggested users. Tho, this frees my conscience to vote for a third-party candidate. And I totally would if they were not clueless and their platforms toxic. about 70% of all Nevada votes are done early, so leaves only about 300-400k votes to make up that deficit.
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Nate Silver on Twitter: "The reason we adjust polls for the national..."

Suggested users. that may be so but Nevada early vote count gives a good indication of final tally because of the high level of early votes. Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.
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"Internally, Clinton's analytics teams saw the early vote as bad news..."

Nevada early vote *in 2014* is a case when early vote flagged massive drops in Democratic turnout due to the lack of competitive statewide races ahead of time. Internally Clintons team originally encouraged polls slanted in her favor. Early vote-based predictions beat polls in Nevada and NC.
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